安倍晉三始終將修改憲法作為其內閣最重要的目標之一,其目的是為日本成為軍事大國鋪路。美國總統特朗普主張“盟國應該分擔”聯盟的經費,這也給日本安倍晉三內閣將日本防衛經費實現六連增提供了藉口。2017年12月15日,日本政府確定,2018年度初始預算案中涉及防衛領域的經費(包含美軍重組費用)將達到史上最高的約5.19萬億日元(約合3047億人民幣),包括為引進美國陸基“宙斯盾”系統和採購日美聯合研發新型攔截導彈“標準”-3block2的費用。日本政府打算將海上自衛隊最大護衛艦“出雲”號改造為日本二戰後第一艘攻擊型航母,搭載F-35B戰鬥機。
近年來,日本積極與越南、菲律賓、印度、澳大利亞、英國、法國等發展海洋安全合作關係,以構建和加強為日本所用的國際海洋安全合作機制。在特朗普總統宣佈美國退出TPP後,日本主導了“全面且先進的跨太平洋夥伴關係協定”(即“新版TPP”,Comprehensive Progressive Trans-Pacific Partnership,英文縮寫CPTPP)談判。2017年11月11日,日本和越南在峴港宣佈“11個國家就CPTPP達成了框架協議”。但此次達成的框架協議實際上已經凍結了20個項目。安倍晉三政府的主要目的是“一邊維繫與美國的關係,一邊推進由日本主導的海洋安全與經濟合作”。〔35〕
註釋:
〔1〕Hillary R. Clinton,"America's Pacific Century," Foreign Policy, November 2011, p.57, 59, 62-63.
〔2〕U.S Department of Defense, "Sustaining U.S. Global Leadership: Priorities for 21st Century Defense,"January 2012, available at: www.defense.gov/news/Defense_Strategic_Guidance.pdf.(上網時間:2012年1月5日)
〔3〕Admiral Samuel J. Locklear,CommanderofUnited States Pacific Command, testified before U.S. Senate Committee on Armed Services, "U.S. Pacific Command programs and Operations",April 9,2013, https://www.c-span.org/video/?311961-1/us-pacific-command-operations#.(上網時間:2013年4月9日)
〔4〕J.Biden, "Remarks by Vice President Joe Biden on Asia-Pacific Policy," July 19, 2013, available at: http//www.whitehouse.gov/the-press-office/2013/07/19/remarks-vice-president-joe-biden-asia-pacific-policy.(上網時間:2018年1月2日)
〔5〕"Japan Is Back," Speech by Prime Minister Shinzo Abe at the Center for Strategic and International Studies(CSIS), Washington, DC, February 22, 2013, available at:http://www.mofa.go.jp/announce/pm/abe/us_20130222en.html.(上網時間:2018年1月2日)
〔6〕Rex W. Tillerson, Secretary of State,Remarks on "Defining Our Relationship With India for the Next Century", at Center for Strategic & International Studies, Washington, DC, the U.S.,October 18, 2017,available at:https://www.state.gov/secretary/remarks/2017/10/274913.htm.(上網時間:2017年10月19日)
〔7〕"National Security Adviser H.R. McMaster updated reporters on the president's upcoming trip to Asia", White House Daily Briefing, White House, Washington, DC, the U.S., C-SPAN, November 2, 2017 , available at:https://www.c-span.org/video/?436740-1/white-house-briefs-reporters-presidents-trip-asia#.(上網時間:2017年11月2日)
〔8〕Kevin Liptak and Dan Merica, "Trump delivers 'America first' speech at Asia-Pacific economic summit",CNN, November 10, 2017, available at : http://edition.cnn.com/2017/11/10/politics/donald-trump-apec-vietnam-trade/index.html.(上網時間:2017年11月10日)
〔9〕ManmohanSingh, "PM's Address to Japan-India Association, Japan-India Parliamentary Friendship League and International Friendship Exchange Council," May 28, 2013, available at:http://pmindia.nic.in/speech-details.php?nodeid=1319.(上網時間:2013年5月29日)
〔10〕"Transcript of Trump's speech to the leaders of more than 50 Muslim countries to outline his vision for US-Muslim relations in Saudi Arabia",CNN, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia,May 21, 2017, available at : http://edition.cnn.com/2017/05/21/politics/trump-saudi-speech-transcript/index.html.(上網時間:2017年5月22日)
〔11〕"Remarks by President Trump on the Strategy in Afghanistan and South Asia", Fort Myer, Arlington, Virginia, the U.S., issued by the White House, August 21, 2017, available at : https://www.whitehouse.gov/briefings-statements/remarks-president-trump-strategy-afghanistan-south-asia/.(上網時間:2017年8月22日)
〔12〕"National Security Strategy of the United States", White House, Washington, DC, the U.S., December, 2017, p.45-46, available at : https://www.whitehouse.gov/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/NSS-Final-12-18-2017-0905.pdf.(上網時間:2017年12月18日)
〔13〕Michael Green and Daniel Twining, "Why aren't we working with Japan and India ?",Washington Post, July 18, 2011, http//articles.washingtonpost.com/2011-07-18/opinions/35238121-1-obama-adminstration-strategic-dialogue-japan-and-india.(上網時間:2011年7月18日)
〔14〕"National Security Strategy of the United States", White House, Washington, DC, the U.S., December, 2017, p.46, available at : https://www.whitehouse.gov/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/NSS-Final-12-18-2017-0905.pdf.(上網時間:2017年12月18日)
〔15〕Shinzo Abe, "Asia's Democratic Security Diamond", Project Syndicate, January 28, 2013, available at : http://www.project-syndicate.org.(上網時間:2013年1月28日)
〔16〕"National Security Strategy of the United States", White House, Washington, DC, the U.S., December, 2017, p. 47, available at : https://www.whitehouse.gov/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/NSS-Final-12-18-2017-0905.pdf.(上網時間:2017年12月18日)
〔17〕World Integrated Trade Solution (WITS), the World Bank.
〔18〕Admiral Samuel J. Locklear, Commander of U.S. Pacific Command, "U.S. Pacific Command Posture," Statement before the House Armed Services Committee, March 5, 2013.
〔19〕Robert D. Hormats, Under Secretary for Economic Growth, Energy, and the Environment, "Asian Regional Economic Integration," Keynote Remarks at,the Asia Society, New York City, NY, December 12, 2012 available at : http://www.state.gov/e/rls/rmk/20092013/2012/202024.htm
〔20〕Anthony Fensom, "China, India To Lead World By 2050, Says PwC" (a news report about "World in 2050" report by PwC, PricewaterhouseCoopers), February 12, 2015, available at : http://thediplomat.com/2015/02/china-india-to-lead-world-by-2050-says-pwc/
〔21〕"China Top Economy in 2020, India in 2050," (a news report about the 2012 edition of The Wealth Report, released by global property firm Knight Frankand Citi Private Bank), March 30, 2012, available at : http://www.2point6billion.com/news/2012/03/30/report-china-top-economy-in-2020-india-in-2050-10921.html
〔22〕Mohsin S. Khan, "Asia: Stepping Up from Regional Influence to a Global Role," East Asia Forum Quarterly October 16, 2011, p.18.
〔23〕Jeffrey J. Schott, "The FTA Frenzy in East Asia: Current Status and Prospects," Peterson Institute for International Economics, November 1, 2007.
〔24〕General Rashid Mehmood, the Chairman of Joint Chief of Staff Committee of Pakistan, “Challenges in Indo-Pacific Region Growing, Maritime Security Conference Told,” speech at 6th International Maritime Conference 2015, February 16, 2015, available at: http://epaper.dawn.com/print-imageview.php?StoryText=17_02_2015_003_005.
〔25〕中國商務部網站:《澳大利亞對主要貿易夥伴出口額》(2014年),參見網頁: http://countryreport.mofcom.gov.cn/record/view110209.asp?news_id=42743;以及《澳大利亞自主要貿易夥伴進口額》(2014年),參見網頁: http://countryreport.mofcom.gov.cn/record/view110209.asp?news_id=42744。
〔26〕Zack Cooper, "Strengthening U.S.- Australia Alliance,"available at : http://csis.org/articles.com/2014-07-20/opinions/287243-1-strengthening-us-Australia-alliance.
〔27〕見2001年7月16日簽署的《中俄元首莫斯科聯合聲明》,載《人民日報》2001年7月17日第1版。
〔28〕時任中國國家主席江澤民2001年7月16日在莫斯科與俄羅斯總統普京舉行會談時的談話,載《人民日報》2001年7月17日第1版。
〔29〕Michael Green and Daniel Twining, "Why Aren't We Working with Japan and India ?" available at : http//articles.washingtonpost.com/2011-07-18/opinions/35238121-1-obama-adminstration-strategic-dialogue-japan-and-india.
〔30〕Glenn H .Snyder, "The Security Dilemmain Alliance Politics" , World Politics , Vol.34 , No .3 ,July 1984,pp .466-489 .
〔31〕Glenn H .Snyder, "The Security Dilemmain Alliance Politics" , World Politics , Vol.34 , No .3 ,July 1984,pp .490-494 .
〔32〕"National Security Strategy of the United States", White House, Washington, DC, the U.S., December, 2017, p. 46, available at : https://www.whitehouse.gov/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/NSS-Final-12-18-2017-0905.pdf.(上網時間:2017年12月18日)
〔33〕"National Security Strategy of the United States", White House, Washington, DC, the U.S., December, 2017, p. 47, available at : https://www.whitehouse.gov/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/NSS-Final-12-18-2017-0905.pdf.(上網時間:2017年12月18日)
〔34〕"National Security Strategy of the United States", White House, Washington, DC, the U.S., December, 2017, p. 46, available at : https://www.whitehouse.gov/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/NSS-Final-12-18-2017-0905.pdf.(上網時間:2017年12月18日)
〔35〕《日澳強化海洋合作》,日本《讀賣新聞》2017年1月15日,載《參考消息》2017年1月16日。
(全文刊載於《中國評論》月刊2018年12月號,總第252期) |